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2026 Vol.37, Issue 5 Preview Page
The Effects of Urban Characteristics and Housing Market Factors on the Jeonse Fraud in Suwon City - Focusing on Negative Binomial Regression Analysis -

도시특성 요인과 주택시장 요인이 수원시 전세사기 발생에 미치는 영향 분석 - 음이항 회귀분석을 중심으로 -

Jinhee Kim1
,
Jineon Kim2
,
Gunwon Lee3
김 진희1
,
김 진언2
,
이 건원3
1정회원(주저자), 고려대학교 건축학과 도시계획 및 도시설계 전공 박사과정, 수원시정연구원 위촉연구원
2정회원(공동저자), 수원시정연구원 연구위원
3정회원(교신저자), 고려대학교 건축학과 교수
Corresponding AuthorGunwon Lee, Department of Architecture, Korea University, Anam-dong, Seongbuk-gu, Seoul 02841, Korea. E-mail: rhyme2997@korea.ac.kr
25 October 2026. pp. 023-034
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Abstract

This study analyzes the effects of urban characteristics and housing market factors on the occurrence of Jeonse fraud in Suwon City, where fraud cases are highly concentrated, to investigate the structural causes of Jeonse fraud, which has emerged as a serious social problem in recent years. Negative binomial regression analysis was conducted at the administrative dong using data from the past three years (2023-2025). The results indicate that station area accessibility and living SOC ratio have significant positive effects on Jeonse fraud occurrence among urban characteristics factors, while low-price Jeonse transaction rate, non-apartment ratio, and near-new construction ratio show positive effects among housing market factors. These findings suggest that Jeonse fraud is not merely a result of individual information asymmetry, but rather a complex outcome of urban spatial and housing market structural characteristics. To prevent Jeonse fraud, proactive responses targeting high-risk areas are needed, including the development of data-driven risk area identification systems, the introduction of risk information services, and enhanced price transparency in the non-apartment market.

Keywords
Jeonse Fraud
Urban Characteristics
Housing Market Factors
Negative Binomial Regression(NB)
키워드
전세사기
도시특성요인
주택시장 요인
음이항 회귀분석
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Information
  • Publisher :The Korean Housing Association
  • Publisher(Ko) :한국주거학회
  • Journal Title :Journal of the Korean Housing Association
  • Journal Title(Ko) :한국주거학회논문집
  • Volume : 37
  • No :5
  • Pages :023-034
  • Received Date : 2026-07-03
  • Revised Date : 2026-08-19
  • Accepted Date : 2026-08-21
  • DOI :https://doi.org/10.6107/JKHA.2026.37.5.023
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